With The 3rd Pick, in the 2017 NFL Draft, The New England Patriots Select ...

Updated: Feb 19th

 

 

 

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Okay, I'm finally starting to feel like I have a handle n this Draft. Even if it is just a little. 

PICKS 1-11

1st Round

Picks 1-11.

Picks 12-22.

Picks 23-32.

 

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Team

My Picks: 

Key Needs:

Team Moves:

1.

Browns

Defense: 3-4

*Myles Garrett

Edgerusher A&M

6-5, 270, 

QB, WR(FA), WR, LB, LB, ORT, WR, DE, DL, DB, WR, OL

2016 Picks:

1 (15)  Corey Coleman, WR, Baylor

2 Emmanuel Ogbah, DE Oklahoma St

3 (65) Carl Nassib, DE, Penn State

3 (76) Shon Coleman, OT, Auburn

3 (93) Cody Kessler, QB, USC

4 (99) Joe Schobert, OLB, Wisconsin

4 (114) Ricardo Louis, WR, Auburn

4 (129)  Derrick Kindred, S, TCU

4 Seth Devalve, WR/TE, Princeton

5 (154) Jordan Payton, WR, UCLA

5 (168) Spencer Drango, OT, Baylor

5 Rashard Higgins, WR, Colorado St

5 (173) Trey Caldwell, CB, Louisiana-Monroe

7 (250) Scooby Wright, ILB, Arizona

Key F.A.:

RG III

Terrelle Pryor WR

Demario Davis LB

Tank Carder ILB

Don Jones S

Key F.A.: 

Austin Pasztor G 

Alvin Bailey OL  

Key F.A. Lost:

Johnny Manziel QB

Travis Benjamin WR 

Dwayne Bowe WR

Mitchell Schwartz OT 

Alex Mack OC

Karlos Dansby ILB

Craig Robertson LB

Johnson Bademosi DB

Tashaun Gipson S 

The Team: The Brown did a remarkable job in the Draft last year. They swindled their way to too many Draft picks (if there is such a thing). I really liked the USC QB in last years Draft. He might not be the best rookie QB from last years Draft, but he is top five. 

Which gives them the opportunity to take a chance here and take the best player in the Draft. "I think you've got to be careful reaching for a quarterback at No. 1 because if they fail, they don't help your team at all," Joe Thomas said. "Whereas if you pick a defensive lineman, and maybe they don't live up to the hype, you can still find a place to get them on the field and to have an impact." Garrett is definitely going to have an impact.

The Player: Garrett is an elite passrusher with elite size. He has shown for three season he has that money-making knack for hitting the quarterback at a rate that few players ever have. The only time I saw him get stuffed was against Cam Robinson in the Alabama game this year. 

The Reason: This is literally the best player available pick. "If Myles Garrett isn't a Cleveland Brown, I'll be floored," an anonymous scout said. "Can't over think it." 

An anonymous NFL guy said: "Browns should take Trubisky No. 1 overall". But after their recent history of drafting QBs in the 1st they should never draft a QB in the 1st again: Tim Couch, Brady Quinn,  Brandon Weeden, and Johnny Manziel, oh my.

Second Choice: Mitch Trubisky QB

2.

49ers

Defense: 3-4

*Mitch Trubisky

QB UNC

6-3, 220, Jr 

QB, WR, OLT, DL, RB, OL, WR, CB, ILB, DLOG, WR, OLB/PR, DB, WR, 

2016 Picks:

1 (7) DeForest Buckner, DT, Oregon

1 (28) Joshua Garnett, G, Stanford

3 (68) Will Redmond, CB, Miss St

4 (133) Rashard Robinson, CB, LSU

5 Ronald Blair, DT, Appalachian St

5 (145) John Theus, OT, Georgia

5 (174) Fahn Cooper, OT, Ole Miss

6 (207)  Jeff Driskel, QB, Louisiana T

6 (211) Kelvin Taylor, RB, Florida

6-213 Aaron Burbridge WR, Mich St

7 Prince Charles Iworah, CB, W. Kentucky

Key F.A. Signed:

Colin Kaepernick QB

Thad Lewis QB

Garrett Celek TE

Zane Beadles OG

Ian Williams DT 

Phil Dawson K

Key F.A.:

Anquan Boldin WR 
Reggie Bush RB 
Shaun Draughn RB   

Key F.A. Lost:

Alex Boone G 

The Team: He really should stay in school, but when they have you vying for the top pick you have to cash that lottery ticket. "We'll probably know an answer a few days after the bowl game," UNC HC Fedora said. "We've studied everything so he can make the best decision. Mitch has got all the physical tools to be an elite quarterback. He can make every throw. He is intelligent. He can beat you with his legs if he has to. He's been patient and he's worked extremely hard. And that's not always easy, being number two." I would only say that for a top ten pick.

The Player: Trubisky has been pegged as the man in this Draft. "I don't see it as pressure," Trubisky said. "I see it more as a great opportunity. There's a lot of variables. I think we're talking about a lot of what-ifs and who knows, that might not be the right situation for me. If it's meant to be it's meant to be." I finally saw it in the Sun Bowl against Stanford, and I still have two UNC games on my DVR. 

He was not as good after he got hit. But he didn't panic, and was over it quickly. The thing that impressed me the most was that he threw what should have been the game tying touchdown five times. That is some great clutch play that I didn't see from any other QB this year. Unfortunately, Thomas sacked him on the two-point conversion. 

Trubisky had a scary lack of starts, worse than Kizer's. "It's kind of crazy," Trubisky said. "I try not to look too far down the road, but if that opportunity comes I think it would be a dream come true to go back home and play for the hometown team. Honestly, it would really be a blessing to play anywhere in the NFL and have that opportunity to play at the highest level." He finished the season with 3,748-yards, 30 TDs, 6 INT and completed 68% of his passes. 

While he has "appeared" in 33 games (including one game where he came in for one play when the starting QB's helmet fell off), he actually has less starts than Kizer. He only started for one full season, making him a scary one year wonder. As near as I can tell (as it seems to be top secret) he only started 18 games. He was primarily the back up QB in 2014 and 2015 when he only started do to injury. Then he had 13 starts this past season. That still scares me. But a desperate organization will take him in the 1st Round.

"He is a great quarterback," Solomon Thomas said about Trubisky. "He's elusive. He’s got a great pocket presence and he's got a great offensive line that do a lot of good things for him. We’re going to see a new great quarterback play and we’re very excited to play against him."

Not ready to rate him as a 1st Round pick yet. But more teams need a QB than don't. He plays in that QB killing spread offense. But he is very brave in the face of the rush, and can take the big hit and complete the next pass. 

2016 (JUNIOR SEASON): In his first full season as the starting quarterback, Trubisky already ranks sixth at UNC in single-season passing yards and 10th in career passing yards • Has 19 touchdowns this season and 30 in his career, which ranks seventh in school history • Has five rushing touchdowns this season and eighth in his career • Completed 20 of 32 attempts for 329 yards and a touchdown in the win over Georgia Tech • Also rushed six times for 44 yards and a touchdown and caught a pass for eight yards • Completed 24 of 31 pass attempts for 310 yards and three touchdowns in a 35-14 win at Virginia • Completed 11 consecutive pass attempts in the second half • His only incompletion was late in the game on third down from the UNC 5-yard line • Completed 11 of 12 second-half pass attempts at UVA for 150 yards and two touchdowns • Named to the Davey O’Brien Award “Great 8” quarterbacks list for the third time with his performance in the 20-13 win at No. 16 Miami • Completed 33 of 46 passes for 299 yards and two scores as well as running for a career-high 47 yards in the victory • Saw his streak of consecutive pass attempts without an interception come to an end at 243 in the loss to Virginia Tech • Completed just 13 of 33 pass attempts for 58 yards and two interceptions in a 34-3 loss to No. 25 Virginia Tech played during miserable weather conditions • Set the multi-game school record for consecutive completions with 30 straight (last 18 vs. JMU; first 12 vs. Pitt) • Completed 31 of 38 pass attempts for 405 yards and three touchdowns in a 37-35 win at No. 12 Florida State • After FSU tied the game at 28 in the fourth quarter, he calmly engineered a 75-yard drive and retook the lead with a 34-yard touchdown pass to Thomas Jackson • Had another record-setting day at quarterback in a 37-36 win over Pitt, completing 35 of 46 passes for 453 yards, five touchdowns and no interceptions • Named Walter Camp Football Foundation National Offensive Player of the Week • Set career highs for completions, pass attempts, passing yards and touchdown passes • Tied the school record for TD passes in a game with five • Set the school record for most passing yards in back-to-back games with 885 yards (432 vs. JMU and 453 against Pitt) • Completed 24 of 27 pass attempts for a career-high 432 yards and three touchdowns in a win over James Madison • Had a quarterback rating of 260 • Set the school record for most passing yards gained per attempt (min. 25 attempts), averaging 16.0 yards per throw, breaking the mark of 15.1 yards by Marquise Williams against Old Dominion in 2013 • Set the school record for most consecutive pass completions in a game with 18, breaking the previous mark of 16 straight was held by Williams vs. Pitt in 2014 • Two of the 18 completions went for touchdowns, 10 of the 18 went for 10 yards or more, 12 of the 18 went for first downs, and they went to seven different Tar Heel receivers • His 75-yard touchdown pass to Ryan Switzer against JMU was the longest completion of his career • Threw two touchdown passes and rushed for two scores in a 48-23 win at Illinois • Completed 19 of 24 pass attempts for 265 yards and completed his first touchdown pass of the season with a 24-yard screen pass to tailback T.J. Logan in the second quarter • Later had a 20-yard scoring strike to Mack Hollins in the third quarter • Had a 1-yard run to tie the score at seven and later had a 6-yard TD run to give UNC its first lead • The Illinois game was the first time he had scored two rushing touchdowns in a game • In his first career start vs. Georgia, completed 24 of 40 pass attempts for 156 yards, no touchdowns and no interceptions • Ran for seven yards and a touchdown in the loss to Georgia • Named the 2016 starter following spring drills.

The Reason: You better get used to seeing this guy's name in the top two. 

Second Choice: Jared Allen DL

3.

Patriots

Defense: 2-5

*Jonathan Allen-

DL Alabama

6-3, 294, 

CB, WR, RB, DT,  TE,

2014 Picks:

2 (60) Cyrus Jones, CB, Alabama
3 (78)  Joe Thuney, O G, NC State
3 (91) Jacoby Brissett, QB, NC State
3 Vincent Valentine, DT, Nebraska
4-112 Malcolm Mitchell WR Georgia
6 Kamu Grugier-Hill LB E. Illinois
6-214 Elandon Roberts LB Houston
6 (221) Ted Karras, G, Illinois
7-225  Devin Lucien WR Arizona St

FA- DJ Foster RB Arizona ST

Key F.A. Signed:

Chris Hogan WR

Nate Washington WR

LeGarrette Blount RB

Johnathan Cooper OG

LaAdrian Waddle OLT

Martellus Bennett TE/H-B

Clay Harbor TE/FB

James Develin FB

Chris Long DE

Rufus Johnson DE

Terrance Knighton NT/DT

Frank Kearse DT 

Marcus Kuhn DL

Shea McClellin ILB/OLB/ST

Justin Coleman CB

Brandon King DB

Key F.A.: 

Steven Jackson RB 
Brandon Gibson WR

Ryan Wendell G  
Dekoda Watson LB 
Dane Fletcher LB

Tarell Brown, CB 
Nate Ebner DB 

Key F.A. Lost:

Chandler Jones OLB/DE

Tyler Gaffney RB

Brandon LaFell WR

Scott Chandler TE

Akiem Hicks DT/DE

Sealver Siliga NT

Tavon Wilson S

The Team: The most interesting aspect of the NFL Draft right now for Pats Fans is "Oh where and oh can poor Garoppolo go. Oh where of where can he go (1:37)?" Since all Mock Drafts are an exercise in futility before the Combine and free agency? I'm go do my own wacky thing, and show some trade scenarios for the Pats, like Jimmy-G to the Duh Bears for the 4th Pick in the 2017 NFL Draft.

This pick is wacky. It's crazy! It might just happen. Word coming out of Chicago is that they love-love-love their little Jimmy-G. But what do they have to offer? Pick 36? Not when they are battling it out with Cleveland and San Fran. This bidding war starts at pick 12. What do duh Bears have to offer better than pick 12? 

Now you can call me crazy, but you have to remember that the Draft is about: team building, advertisement, fan excitement, parity, yada-yada-yada. But it is also about jobs. If you are the HC of the Bears, whose hands would you want to place your career in? A QB who has won games in the NFL, and has been trained by the best Coach in NFL history for three years? Or DeShone Kizer's hands? 

"I'm not enamored with any of the quarterbacks in this draft, that's No. 1," Casserly said. "No. 2, Garoppolo today is better than any quarterback in this draft. Now, he's had three years of experience. You look at him coming out [in the Draft]: the guy had a quick release, he's smart, he knows where to go with the ball. The guy is accurate, and he can make some plays on the move. You see all [his skills] in the NFL. His deep-ball accuracy, you'd like that a little bit better."

If I were a GM making picks for the Bears? I would not place my career, my dream job, on the brain of rookie QB. When I could grab a QB who has studied the every move of the best QB ever, for three years! Would you? More HCs and GMs get fired for drafting a rookie QB than for any other reason. The picking up of a great QB for a GM and HC is the difference between being fired and being geniuses. When these guys are making picks on Draft Day they are not just thinking about team building, this is their lives on the line. 

When you put your job on the line for a QB with less than 23 Wins in college? HC's tend to get fired. When you Draft a QB in the top ten who hasn't started 30 games in college? His transition to the NFL is likely to cost the GM their job. When you draft a QB who didn't have a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio or never completed 60% of his passes? Then your rookie QB is highly unlikely to develop into an NFL QB who will. Though it does happen.

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Their are exceptions to the Parcells' QB Criteria. The drafting of a QB is the most exasperating and critical aspect of a GM and HC's job. He has to have the physical talent. He has to have the size and the ability to take a hit and complete the next pass. He has to have an NFL arm, and an NFL brain. Some of those are measurables. But as Bill Parcells knew, most are not. So he created a list of criteria that does a good job of trying to measure the immeasurables, which is an oxymoronic exercise (as immeasurables by definition cannot be measured). Here is my list of his Criteria:

1. Be a three-year starter.
2. Be a senior in college.
3. Graduate from college.
4. Start 30 games.
5. Win 23 games.
6. Post a 2-1 touchdown-to-interception ratio.
7. Tally a completion rate of 60 percent or higher.
8. He must be a senior, because you need time and maturity to develop into a good professional quarterback.
9. He must be a graduate, because you want someone who takes his responsibilities seriously.
10. He must be a three-year starter, because you need to make sure his success wasn’t ephemeral and that he has lived as "the guy" for some period of time.

11. He must have at least 23 wins, because the big passing numbers must come in the context of winning games.

I don't buy the Senior aspect of the the Parcell's QB criteria anymore, because there has to be a certain level of talent as well. Money matters too much to the prospects. The top talents are going to come out after their Junior seasons. That is just the economic realty of the NFL now a days. So his criteria is a little bit out of whack, but only a little because of the money involved for these kids. But not in principle, wisdom, or design. 

Even Brady fit most of the criteria, and he had as wacky a college career as anyone ever did. Where he couldn't taste a start his first two seasons because of an upperclassman in front of him, and the betrayal of his HC the last two seasons. Which I do believe developed his competitive spirit, ability to study and take it to the field, and helped make him the best clutch QB in NFL history.

As a two year starter he almost meet every Parcells criteria including Graduating. He completed over 60% of his passes. He started 25 games in those two seasons, and won the Orange Bowl against Alabama. Which included coming back from two 14-point deficits (14-0 in the 1st and 28-14 in the 2nd). It included a game winning drive at the end of the game, and he threw for 369-yards and 4 TDs. I watched that game, and those guys who said he sucked at Michigan are just stupid. 

His 30 to 16 TD to INT ratio is not 2 to 1, but is pretty darn close. Parcells guidelines were likely absolute 35-years ago. They are not absolute anymore, but they are pretty darn close. He didn't have to deal with underclassman when he thought them up. He took Bledsoe #1 overall as Junior. So he had to adjust his criteria for the 1993 Draft just to suit underclassmen. 

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You have to look at circumstances as well, like Brady's. "I think it goes back to the fact that Drew Henson has been here two weeks and Tom Brady's been here three years," the HC of MU in the 90s Lloyd Carr said. "Tom Brady knows the offense. He's a talented guy. Tom Brady is a fighter, he's a competitor, so I don't sell him short at all." All four years of his college career Brady had to deal with wacky QB issues created by Carr.

Physically Brady never looked like he had the athleticism needed to play in the NFL, but he had it mentally like no QB we ever saw. "Drew has made excellent progress," Carr said. "[He] has gotten better almost daily. He's picked up the offense well. He is without question the most talented quarterback I've been around. It's just a matter of continuing to compete and continuing to prepare. He's going to play some this year because he's not just 'another guy.' He's got everything you want. He is a guy who really adds a lot of mobility to that position." But mentally Hansen was a train wreck. 

Carr never showed Brady the respect he should have. "Tom Brady has paid his dues," Carr said. "He has worked extremely hard. He's a bright guy. He has a good arm, and he has the respect of his teammates. I'm anxious to see Tom play. He's got all the right stuff." Carr fell in love with his top high school recruit and the rest is history: Carr was canned, Brady went on to win five Super Bowls, and counting.

He started 25 games and won 20 of them, because he had the Senior QBs in front of him. He also played in 4 other games. So while he didn't reach 30 starts, he did play in 29 games after essentially redshirted his first two seasons. He did have a TD to INT ratio of over 2 to 1 (16 to 7) in three of his seasons combined, including his Senior season (8 to 3 ratio). But he threw 10 INTs his Junior year. Which now is obviously the aberration. 

If you look at Parcells criteria it is really trying to measure the intangibles and  immeasurables that QB must have: Smarts, commitment, toughness, responsible, work ethic, maturity, Leadership, clutch-clutch-clutch play, etc. 

An NFL QB must be clutch. "He must be a senior," Parcels said, "because you need time and maturity to develop into a good professional quarterback." It is getting harder and harder to find a talented Senior QB. But this is really about his sticktoitiveness, commitment to team, and ability to work in a team environment through tough times. But not all QBs can stick for four years. They have to cash that NFL Draft Lottery ticket.

So not all Junior QBs can be expected to graduate. "He must be a graduate," Parcells said, "because you want someone who takes his responsibilities seriously." Junior QBs have to be on pace to graduate when they come out. But that is really a measurement of: smarts, the ability to understand complicated concepts, and the ability to read and understand books; In particular the play book. It is about understanding lectures; In particular coaches in the film room. And translate that knowledge to tests and classes; In particular the football field. Can he learn, study, and excel in test taking: on the field, in group meetings, and film study? Does he take his responsibilities if not obsessively than at least seriously, because class work is absolutely a responsibility in college. 

Unless there are extenuating circumstances, he needs to be the leader of the team for three or four years, and not one year. "He must be a three-year starter," Parcells said. "Because you need to make sure his success wasn’t ephemeral, and that he has lived as 'the guy' for some period of time." So many things: leadership, captaincy, sticktoitiveness, courage under fire, trust of coaches, ability to adapt, trust of his teammates, winning (because a three year starter has to win to keep his job), etc. This is the main failure of Brady in college. But in the intangibles in the Parcell's criteria is trying to measure he showed all of them. 
WINS MATTER JUDGING QBs MORE THAN ALMOST ANYTHING ELSE. "He must have at least 23 wins, because the big passing numbers must come in the context of winning games." Brady was never allowed to be the fulltime do or die starter for a full season, yet he still led them: to a 10-3 record in 1998, was 7 and 1 in the Big-10, and beat Arkansas in the Citrus Bowl. He was also 10-2 in 1999 (including an Orange Bowl win), in the most tumultuous seasons of his life: where he kept getting yanked out of games, not because of performance, but because his Coach is nuts, and kept his word to a freshman QB who sucked his way out of football. 

But what it did do was force Brady to dig their way back into games in the 2nd Half, and comeback to win over and over. "The 1999 Michigan Wolverines started off 5-0, including a 26-22 win over Notre Dame, and a road win against eventual powerhouse Wisconsin. Against Michigan State, Brady was not chosen to play [start] the second half [because Lloyd left Hanson in to start the 2nd Half, and he sucked. I watched this game]. However, he was reinserted into the game with Michigan down by 17 points, and he nearly led Michigan all the way back before losing 34–31. After a 300-yard passing game the following week, Carr went exclusively with Brady for the remainder of the season. Brady went on to lead Michigan to multiple 4th-quarter comebacks, including a remarkable 31–27 win against Penn State, and leading them out of a close game against Indiana, 34–31." He was the fiercest QB in the 2nd Half for his last two seasons at UM, which made him the most mentally tough QB in the 2000 Draft.
Parcells' criteria is about measuring the immeasurables: heart, ability to fight through every obstacles, taking the hits and injuries that hurt and continuing to fight, etc. So while Brady did not meet his criteria perfectly in college. He was ironically trained in college to meet the intangibles of Parcell's criteria were meant to judge, better than any QB ever has while at Michigan. He not only had to fight through a dumb freshman QB, who couldn't play, he had to fight through a stupid HC who kept putting the idiot QB back in the game to disrupt and destroy the offense. 

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Now I do believe that this rant started off about Garoppolo. He was a four year starter (which obviously means he was senior, though I could find no evidence that he graduated, or didn't). He completed over 60% of his passes. He was over a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio by 16 TDs. He called his own plays (smarts). He played for two HCs (which means he was smart enough to study and learn two systems). He started every game while he was in college (which means he was smart enough to start as a true freshman, and tough enough to play through injuries). He actually won exactly 23 games in college. 

He really met all of Parcell's criteria, and like Phil Simms he went to a small school (Morehead State). "Garoppolo to me is not a special guy [athletically] who will just raise the level of everybody around him. Like for example, a Luck. That's a rare guy," Casserly said. "But yet I do think all the characteristics I talked about, the ability to be accurate, get the ball out on time. I think he'll do a great job there." Plus he met my criteria of: taking a head shaking hit, getting up off the ground, and completing the next pass.

But most importantly, he has been trained for three years in the best QB-College in football history! The Patriots, with BB, McDaniels, and TB12 tutoring him. When he finally got to start a game he was spectacular. In his two starts, or rather wins, he was 43 for 63 for 502-yards and 4 TDs. Plus, he was near perfect on 3rd downs in those two games. Which is a QBs main job in the NFL (well, besides wins). He averaged 252-yards and 2 TDs in the two games he started. 

No QB in this Draft matched Parcell's criteria better than Garoppolo in college. Plus, they don't have his NFL experience learning behind the best QB ever! Being coached by the best HC ever! Or have won two games, and faced an NFL pass rush on 3rd and long and consistently converted them. 

Okay! In a momentary lapse of reason, I was so blown away by his composer on 3rd down in those first two games that I would have traded Brady right then. But in my defense that was before the greatest NFL game ever played. And, before I thought Brady could legitimately play for two and maybe three more years. 

So the idea that Garoppolo isn't the top QB available in this Draft is ludicrous. If the Bears GM Pace and their HC John Fox want to keep their jobs? There is only one player available in this Draft who can instantly do that for them, and he is an Illinois native. 

USA Today ranked all the GM and HC combos in the NFL. Now I don't know how much validity the article has (I mean, Browns 24? Chargers above the Dolphins)? I mean, a team in the Super Bowl, the Falcons, 19th and a non playoff team, the Vikings, 7th is just dumb for opposite reasons. But it was interesting. They ranked duh Bears 16th (I mean, Bears 16th is dumb as well). To not start start with Cleveland, 49ers, and duh Bears as 32, 31, an 30 is just stupid.

Anyway, who do think would get Pace and Foxy into next year's top five GM-HC Combo List? Watson? Trubisky? Kizer Söze? Wrong! The correct answer is Jimmy Garoppolo. Because Garoppolo is the only QB in this Draft who can save these guys jobs this year. 

The Player: 2/18 Jonathon Allen: Inside-Out USA.

The Reason: Old Explanation: 

There are two reasons. One is that if Cleveland drafts Garrett and trades for Garoppolo then they are in the Playoffs next season. They addressed every need I had on their team in last years Draft. The team will get better every year over the next few seasons, as the astonishing Draft class from last year grows. With Garoppolo at the helm. They can expedite the process, and continue to grow as a team with all the young players from last years Draft.

Remember coaches are people too. Hue Jackson wants to keep his dream job. A rookie QB ain't gonna help him do that. Pep Hamilton wants to continue to be an OC in the NFL. No rookie in this Draft is going to help him keep his job. Sashi Brown has general managed the Browns into one to the worst two year stretches in NFL history. If they trade for Garoppolo? All three of these guys keep their jobs for years to come, and the Browns will finally rejoin the NFL again. If they don't than their careers are in the hands of Cody Kessler.

NFL QBs are the only real commodity that can guarantee a coach and GM wealth and success. If you have a great one, you are suddenly a great HC and GM. If you don't? You can be made to look foolish real fast.  

Two, with the value of Trubisky skyrocketing off his great performance in the Sun Bowl, the Browns can trade down from the 1st pick, and pick up another 1st next year from a team that is planning on starting a rookie QB. They will get a top five pick this year, and a top five pick next year, and likely more. They could trade down and still might be able to grab Garrett, and if not him than Jared Allen could be one hell of a consolation prize. 

San Fran at Two. Duh Bears at Three, and the Jets at Six are all desperate for a QB. That sounds like a terrific bidding war if you ask me. Trade down to Two, and still pick up Garrett. Or, trade down to Three, and still be guaranteed to get Garrett or Allen. Trade down to Six for a bigger package, and still be in position to minimally pick up the top CB in this Draft, which is their top need. 

This is one of those deals that is too perfect not to happen. Not only does this help both teams in the Playoffs next season, they also have been dealing with each other a lot this season. The front offices have a connection between the two teams for some reason. They made two trades during this current season. So they have shown that they can work out some difficult and complicated trades.

Do you remember how complicated the Jamie Collins trade was? First they made the trade, using a Compensatory pick when a Compensatory pick had never been used in a trade before. Then the League came out and squashed the deal, saying that while you now can now trade a compensatory pick you technically can't trade the pick until it has been awarded to your team. Boom! Deal done. But no! The Brown and Pats stuck to it, and came up with a whole new deal on the fly in less than a day. That is the kind of working together a deal like this needs. A trade for Garoppolo starts with this pick. The Browns now officially own the 12th pick in the Draft. Then as the Pats go to the Senior Bowl and the Combine, and other League meetings, the price goes up with every desperate GM they speak with. 

As coaches, GMs, and Owners evaluate and look honestly at their teams and realize they can't win next season without a legit option at QB? The price for Garoppolo goes up and up. I think we can leave the Jets out of this one, but if the Browns, 49ers, and Bears don't find a QB who can lead their team to the playoffs their GM and coaches are gone. They won't last the season next year. Whoever makes the deal is an instant Playoff contender. Which gives a team the better chance to win in the Playoffs, to have a great prospect turn into a star passrusher with Garrett or Allen, or a QB who has shown he can win games in the NFL?

It is not rocket science it is simple as pie. And no one loves the NFL Draft more than me. But each pick in the Draft is a lottery ticket. There are not a lot of sure things in the NFL. But Garoppolo is exponentially more of a sure thing to help win games in the NFL than any rookie in this Draft. Three teams at the top of the Draft have a GM that is about to be fired. Look at the 49er's GM. He has been a complete and utter failure since he drove Harbaugh out of town. He has hired and fired two straight HCs after one year! Complete and utter failure. You cannot screw up a Franchise any quicker or more incompetently than Baalke did. Destroying his relationship with a top five HC in the NFL to the point where he had to be fired. Giving a giant contract to a QB that couldn't play without that HC. And then incompetently hiring two patsy HCs to take the fall for his utter failures. 

But, what if he suddenly had a QB who could play? What if he suddenly had Garoppolo? Enough with the suspense, that is the only way he can keep his job. The only way the Browns, 49ers, and Bears current mixture of coaches and management can keep their jobs is by acquiring Garoppolo. Only one of those current crews will be employed in 2018, if they make it that long. And the one crew that will survive will be the crew that pries Garoppolo out of BB's cold hands. Right now Cleveland has the inside track, but that is not going to last long.

Second Choice: Marlon Humphrey CB

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TOM's Tapes:

2/19 Malik Hooker: Inside-Out USA.

2/18 Jonathon Allen: Inside-Out USA.

2/18 Marshon Lattimore: Best Hips In The Draft.

2017 Bio: 

12/9 Leonard Fournette.

12/9 Dalvin Cook.

12/9 DJ Smoot Bio.

2016:

3/24 2008 NFL Draft: Marcellus Bennett TE.

3/24 2013 NFL Draft: Jonathan Cooper OG.

3/24 2012 NFL Draft: Shea McClellin LB.

2015 Draft:

3/22 The Scarnecchia: Part III: Tre Jackson. 

6/15 Malcom Brown Tape.

6/15 Stephone Anthony Tape.

6/15 Jordan Richards Tape.

6/15 Geneo Grissom Tape.

6/15 Trey Flowers Tape.

6/23 Part IV: Tre Jackson.

6/23 Darryl Roberts: He Checks All The Boxes.

6/23 The Forth Round Picks: Shaq Mason.

6/23 Xzavier Dickson.

4.

Jaguars

Defense: 4-3

**Marshon Lattimore

CB Ohio State

6', 192, #2

CB, DB, DL, OC, CB, 

2016 Picks:

1 (5) Jalen Ramsey, CB/S, Florida St

2 (36) Myles Jack, ILB, UCLA

3-69 Yannick Ngakoue DE Maryland

4 (103) Sheldon Day, DT, ND

6 (181) Tyrone Holmes, DE, Montana

6 (201)  Brandon Allen, QB, Arkansas

7 (226) Jonathan Woodard, DE, Central Arkansas

Key F.A. Signed:

Chris Ivory  RB

Kelvin Beachum OLT

Mackenzy Bernadeau OG

Stefen Wisniewski OC

Malik Jackson DL

Tashaun Gipson S 

Key Free Agents:

Chad Henne QB 
Clay Harbor TE 
Marcedes Lewis TE 
Bernard Pierce RB 
Bryan Walters WR     

Key F.A. Lost:

Zane Beadles OG

Sam Young OT

Andre Branch DE 

Olivier Vernon OLB
Chris Clemons DE

Bryan Anger P

The Team: They have two DBs who are free agents (SS Cyprien and CB Amukamara). House is a good CB, who might be better served as the 3rd Corner. Getting a starting DB is a must in this Draft.

Ouch! This Franchise just keeps moving backwards. Bortles has dropped to a choking rookie QB level this season. The monumental problem that Head Coaches who were DCs have is developing the QB. The HC of the JJ better learn how to coach his QB fast, or his HC in the NFL days are long over. The only offensive player they took in last years Draft was a QB in the 6th Round. HCs cannot ignore their Offense.

The Player: 2/18 Marshon Lattimore: Best Hips In The Draft.

The Reason: I still think they need another CB. Having Ramsey and Lattimore as their CBs could complete their defense, or allow them to move Ramsey to Safety. Then they can focus on getting some help for their Offense.

DC HC's do what they do. They build their defenses and leave their QB to the wolves. They took five D-linemen in last years Draft!

Second Choice: Leonard Fournette RB

5.

Titans

From 

RAMS!

**Marlon Humphrey-

Alabama

6-1, 198, (O) 4.48, #26

S, CB, OL, RB, DT(FA), WR, 5-T, WR, CB, DE, TE(FA), 

2016 Picks:

1 (8)  Jack Conklin, OT, Michigan St

2 (33) Kevin Dodd, DE, Clemson

2 (43)  Austin Johnson, DT, Penn St

2 (45) Derrick Henry, RB, Alabama

3 (64) Kevin Byard, S, Middle Tennessee St

5 (140) Tajae Sharpe, WR, UMass

5 (157) LeShaun Sims, Southern Utah

6 (193) Sebastian Tretola, G, Arkansas

7 (222) Aaron Wallace, OLB, UCLA

7 (253) Kalan Reed, CB, S. Miss

Key F.A. Signed:

DeMarco Murray RB

Rishard Matthews WR 

Ben Jones OC

Key F.A.:

Craig Stevens TE 
Dorin Dickerson TE 
Byron Bell OT   
Joe Looney G 
Jamon Meredith G 

Mike Martin DE 
Al Woods DT 

Sammie Lee Hill DT

Zach Brown LB

Steven Johnson LB

Brandon Harris CB 

Coty Sensabaugh CB 

Key F.A. Lost:

Matt Cassel QB 

Logan Mankins OG

The Team: Talk about a great trade. The Rams not only took Goff number one overall, they traded this year's 1st to move up to get him. Right now the Titans are looking at the 8th pick in the 2016 Draft, and the 5th pick in the 2017 Draft for the 1st pick in the Draft from last year. That's pretty good. That was the best case scenario when you draft a QB in the top five, and he develops nicely the first two years.

The Player: Humphrey's is the man. Did you see him shut down Ross in the Playoff game against Washington. My only real question with him was his speed. That was dispelled with flying colors against Ross. Notes: Most physical Corner in this years Draft. Love watching him knock guys out on the edge. Very physical covering slants. He has the best jam within five yards that I have ever seen. They put him on Ross, and he even lined up on him in the slot. He was all over Ross. He step in front of him on one pass, and got both hands on an INT and dropped it.

Humphrey is one of the toughest CBs I have ever seen. He is the best hitting CB I have ever seen. Plus, he has the speed to turn and run with anyone. 

2016 (Sophomore): Coming off of a Freshman All-America season ... had the first of the Tide’s four pick-sixes on the season, taking an interception back for a score in the season opener against USC ... started every game this season and all 27 during his career ... only allowed 29 completions this season an average of 2.41 per game ... has two interceptions (18 return yards), one forced fumble and four pass breakups to go with his 33 tackles, including three for a loss (-6 yards) ... named as one of the UA coaching staff’s defensive players of the week following his performances against USC, Western Kentucky, Texas A&M and Auburn. USC: Had a pick-six, the first of his career, from 18 yards out to highlight his night ... also added two tackles, including one for a loss (-3 yards). Western Kentucky: Forced a fumble, broke up a pass and recorded two total tackles against the Hilltoppers. Ole Miss: Collected a season-high five tackles, including four solo stops ... also added a pair of pass breakups to tie his career-high mark. Kent State: Totaled one tackle in the first half before the entire defense exited in the second half ... helped limit the Golden Flashes’ offense to only 84 yards through the air. Kentucky: Registered three tackles against the Wildcats ... helped limit the UK offense to only 89 yards passing on the night. Arkansas: Wrapped up his day in Fayetteville with three tackles against the Razorbacks. Tennessee: Finished with one tackle on the day as the Vols did not look his way often ... helped limit the UT aerial attack to 131 yards passing. Texas A&M: Picked off his second pass of the season one play after the Crimson Tide turned the ball over ... finished with three solo tackles and a pass breakup in a 33-14 victory over the No. 6 Aggies. LSU: Set a career-high mark for tackles with eight in Baton Rouge ... his eight stops ranked second on the team ... made one stop on special teams while adding one tackle against the run ... helped limit the Tigers passing attack to only 92 yards through the air. Mississippi State: Made one tackle and only allowed one pass to be completed all game ... helped limit the Bulldogs quarterback to a 61.15 passer rating. Chattanooga: Finished with three total tackles and helped hold the Mocs to 184 total yards, including just 70 yards rushing. Auburn: Made one tackle for a loss (-1 yard) against the Tigers in limited playing time ... missed most of the second half with a leg injury that cut his playing time short.

The Reason: They just don't need an RB. But they do need a CB.

Second Choice: Leonard Fournette RB

6.

Jets

Defense: 3-4

 

*Deshaun Watson

QB Clemson

6-3, 215, 

QB, OLB/PR, OL, DT, WR, LB, DB

2016 Picks:

1 (20) Darron Lee, ILB, Ohio State

2 Christian Hackenberg QB Penn St

3 (83) Jordan Jenkins, OLB, Georgia

4 (118) Juston Burris, CB, NC State

5 (158) Brandon Shell, OT S. Carolina

7 (235)  Lachlan Edwards, P, Sam Houston St

7 (241) Charone Peake, WR, Clemson

Key F.A. Signed:

Matt Forte RB

Khiry Robinson RB

Bilal Powell RB

Mo Wilkerson DE (Tagged)

Key F.A Lost:

Ryan Fitzpatrick QB

Antonio Allen, S 
Stephen Bowen, DE 
Randy Bullock, K 
Willie Colon, G 
Demario Davis, LB 
Kellen Davis, TE 
Leger Douzable, DE   
Erin Henderson, LB 
Ben Ijalana, OT 
Jaiquawn Jarrett, S 
Jamari Lattimore, LB 
Chris Owusu, WR 
Calvin Pace, LB  
Stevan Ridley, RB 
Darrin Walls, CB 

Key F.A Lost:

Chris Ivory RB 

Damon Harrison DT

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The Team: In my view there are two choices here. One, take a QB. Two, take an RB who can take pressure off their crappy QBs. It is not a coincidence that Fitz was a good QB in 2015, and terrible in 2016. What was the difference? Same player, same system, same coaches. The difference was that Ivory was a top five RB in 2015, and he left in free agency. So if Trubisky or Watson don't drop here, they have to take Fournette to help their crappy QBs.

Sometimes life just throws you a bone. And the Jets sucking was certainly fun to watch.

The Player: Watson is a tough winner. He can take the big hit and get up and make the big throw on 3rd down. He can move around the pocket better than any QB in this Draft to get time to make the big throw. He retreats, retreats, and retreats, and then lofts the ball 40-yards down field. He is a beast in big games. Did you watch the ACC Champ game? He was a beast, in the biggest game of the season, again. Plus, what are the NFL haters going to say when he leads Clemson to the BCS Champ game again this January, "huh Beavis, this guy rocks. Ah-ha-ha."

The Reason: They have to get a serious influx in talent at QB. Watson would be a serious influx of talent, but he is going to need time. He needs to Redshirted. Not once, but maybe twice. This is one of those smart picks that can hurt stupid teams. Because the HC of the NJJ will get fired if they play him, and might get fired if they sit him for a year or two. They have to understand that Watson, or Trubisky for that matter, is going to take 3 to 5 years before they become winning NFL QBs, much like Jimmy-G.

Second Choice: Leonard Fournette RB

7.

Chargers

Defense: 3-4

**Malik Hooker- 

FS Ohio State

6-2, 205, RS-Soph,

 

DB, S (FA), 5-T, TE, WR, QB,  OLT, TE, CB, LB. CB, 

2014 Picks:

1 (15) Melvin Gordon RB Wisconsin

2 (48) Denzel Perryman ILB Miami.

3 (83) Craig Mager, DB Texas State.

5 (153) Kyle Emanuel DE N Dakota St

6 (192) Darius Philon, NT, Arkansas

Key FA.:

Travis Benjamin WR

Dontrelle Inman WR

Antonio Gates TE/H-B

Chris Hairston OT 

Kenny Wiggins OL

Brandon Mebane DT

Casey Hayward CB

Jahleel Addae S

Key FA. Signed:

Malcom Floyd, WR  

John Phillips TE 

David Johnson FB

Johnnie Troutman G 

Joe Barksdale OT 
Jeffrey Linkenbach OT
J.D. Walton C 
Ricardo Mathews DE 

Joe Mays LB  
Brandian Ross DB 
Cassius Vaughn DB 

Kellen Clemens QB 

Key FA. Lost:

Donald Butler RB

Ladarius Green TE

Kendall Reyes DE  

Patrick Robinson DB

Eric Weddle S

The Team: The Charger never overcame the loss of Eric Weddle. They have to find a replacement fast. 

The Player: 2/19 Malik Hooker: Inside-Out USA.

The Reason: Hooker has an injury that could cause him to slide. But if the Chargers think his medicals check out? Hooker is just what they need. He would be a huge start to rebuilding their secondary. 

Second Choice: Teez Tabor CB

8.

Panthers

Defense: 4-3

*Leonard Fournette

RB LSU

6-1, 235, #7

 

CB! WR, CB, TE, OL, S, ORT, DB, 

2016 Picks:

1-30 Vernon Butler, DT, Louisiana T.

2 (62) James Bradberry, S, Samford

3 (77) Daryl Worley, CB, WVU

5 (141)  Zack Sanchez, Oklahoma

7 (252) Beau Sandland, TE, Montana State

Key F.A.:

Joe Webb QB

Mike Tolbert FB

Gino Gradkowski O C 

Bradley Sowell OT 

Josh Norman CB (Tagged)

Charles Johnson DE

Paul Soliai NT

Brandon Boykin CB 

J.J. Jansen LS 

Key F.A.: 
Tyronne Green G 
Fernando Velasco C 
Chris Scott, G 
Amini Silatolu, OL  
Kyle Love DT

Cortland Finnegan CB 

Charles Tillman CB 

Roman Harper S 

Brad Nortman P

Key F.A.:

Jared Allen DE 

The Team: This team's collapse is by far the most shocking. But they seem to have hopefully put it all together against the Raiders. It's tough to believe that they can't turn it around next year, but they have to start by getting help for Newton.

The Player: 12/9 Leonard Fournette.  

The Reason: They need to take some heat off of Cam. Fournette is best offensive game changer in this Draft. He instantly makes Newton a better QB.

Second Choice: Teez Tabor CB

9. 

Bengals

Defense: 4-3

 

*Tim Williams-

DE/OLB Alabama

6-4, 245, 

WR, DB, WR, TE, FS, OG, DL, LB

2016 Picks:

1 William Jackson III, CB, Houston

2 (55) Tyler Boyd, WR, Pittsburgh

3 (87) Nick Vigil, ILB, Utah State

4 (122) Andrew Billings, DT, Baylor

5 (161) Christian Westerman, G, Arizona St

6 (199) Cody Core, WR, Ole Miss

7 (245) Clayton Fejedelem, S, Illinois

Key FA Signed:

Eric Winston OT 

Vincent Rey OLB

Adam Jones CB 

George Iloka S

Key Free Agents:  

Brandon Tate WR 

Andre Smith OT 

Wallace Gilberry DE 

Pat Sims DT 
Brandon Thompson DT 
Emmanuel Lamur OLB  

Leon Hall CB  

Reggie Nelson S 

Key F.A. Lost:

Marvin Jones WR

Mohamed Sanu WR

The Team: How is this team in the bottom ten of this year's Draft. Has Marvin lost his magic. They need to take the best player available.

The Player: Williams is a quick twitch rusher who wins fast. Those are the guys who play in the NFL for a long time. He can dip and rip around the Corner as fast as anyone in this Draft. But he has to get bigger and stronger. It might take him a few years to develop the size and strength he needs.

2016 (Senior): A disruptive force on the outside for the Crimson Tide ... candidate for the Butkus Award and midseason All-American by Sports Illustrated ... a force once again this season, collecting 25 total tackles and a team-best 8.0 sacks (-88 yards) ... 60.0 percent of his tackles have come behind the line of scrimmage with 15 tackles for a loss of 116 yards ... also has 11 quarterback hurries, two forced fumbles and one pass breakup ... added one fumble recovery which he returned 23 yards for his first career score ... tabbed to the Bednarik, Lott, Nagurski, Butkus and Lombardi Award Preseason Watch Lists ... selected as one of the UA coaching staff’s defensive players of the week for his outings against Kentucky and at Arkansas. USC: Recorded two tackles and one quarterback hurry against the Trojans ... helped pressure the SC passers into an 18-of-37 day that included one pick and only 130 yards through the air. Western Kentucky: Pressured the WKU quarterback off the edge but did not record any stats ... help force the Hilltopper signal-callers into two interceptions by day’s end. Ole Miss: Had his biggest game of the year, finishing with two tackles, including a sack (-9 yards) and a forced fumble ... his hit on the Rebel quarterback forced a fumble that went into the arms of Jonathan Allen and was returned for the eventual winning score. Kent State: Finished his half of play with two tackles, including half a stop for a loss (-4 yards) ... also added a season-high and career-high tying two quarterback hurries during his playing time. Kentucky: Played in only one half, but made the most of his time ... finished with four tackles ... three of his tackles went for a loss (-14 yards) to set a new career high ... added one sack (-1) and two quarterback hurries while forcing a fumble ... played a key role in stalling the Wildcat offense for only 87 total yards in the second half. Arkansas: Scored his first career touchdown, picking up a fumble and returning it 23 yards for a score ... also added one sack (-10 yards), a pass breakup and a pair of quarterback hurries ... tied for the game high in quarterback pressures to help the Tide defense accumulate a season-high 12 quarterback hurries. Tennessee: Finished with two tackles, both for a loss (-20 yards) and one sack (-17 yards) ... applied consistent pressure off the edge to help limit the Volunteers to 131 yards passing. Texas A&M: Wreaked havoc all over the field with two sacks for a loss of 27 yards and three total tackles ... added a quarterback hurry as the high-powered Aggies managed only 278 yards of total offense. LSU: Helped the Crimson Tide shutout the Tigers’ high-powered offense ... had 1.5 tackles for loss (-3 yards), including half of a sack ... finished with four total tackles while helping limit LSU to just 92 yards passing and 125 total yards. Mississippi State: Recorded two tackles for loss (14 yards), including his team-leading eighth sack of the season ... helped force the Bulldogs’ quarterback into a 61.15 passer rating. Chattanooga: Registered one tackle for a loss of 12 yards as the Tide limited the Mocs to just 184 yards and just 70 yards on the ground. Auburn: Spotted the stat sheet against the Tigers, finishing with one tackle for loss (-3 yards) while adding one quarterback hurry and a pass breakup ... helped limit the high-powered Auburn offense to 182 total yards ... Alabama also held the Tigers -- who entered the game leading the SEC in rushing -- to just 66 yards rushing or 232 yards less than its season average.

The Reason: They need help at LB, but there is no way they are taking an off the line LB here. Williams gives them a speed rusher that they don't really have. Plus, he is a little light and ultra athletic. So he could play some off the ball LB for them like Beasley did for Atlanta. 

Second Choice: Solomon Thomas DL

10.

Bills

Defense: 4-3

*Mike Williams

WR Clemson

6-2, 303, #7- 

ORT, DE, WR(FA), DB, DL, LB, WR,  OG, KR, CB. 

2016 Picks:

1 (19) Shaq Lawson, DE, Clemson
2 (41) Reggie Ragland LB, Alabama
3 (80) Adolphus Washington, DT, Ohio State
4 (139) Cardale Jones QB, Ohio SE
5 Jonathan Williams RB, Arkansas
6 (192) Kolby Listenbee, WR, TCU
6 (218) Kevon Seymour, CB, USC

Key Free Agents Signed:

Leonard Hankerson WR

Cordy Glenn OT (tagged)

Richie Incognito Turnstile

Zach Brown LB

Robert Blanton S 

Key Free Agents:
Josh Johnson, QB 
Jordan Mills, OT 
Alex Carrington, DL 
Key Free Agents Lost:

Kraig Urbik OG

Anthony Dixon RB

Chris Hogan WR

Mario Williams DE

Stefan Charles DL

Nigel Bradham LB 

Leodis McKelvin CB

Ron Brooks CB

The Team: Yay, the Bills finally made it into the top ten. Let me let you in a little secret, SSSHHHH, the Bills need WRs. 

The Player: Williams never looked like a Number One WR to me. But he was terrific in the second half of the season. 

The Reason: I broke down the two Bills games against the Pats and the worst unit by far were their WRs. They suck-suck-suck, like the Jets. If the Bills as a Franchise want to take a step forward, they have to turn Tyrod Taylor into a legit NFL QB. That starts with a big weapon he can throw to deep down the field, after he prances around the pocket for a while.

Second Choice: Cam Robinson OLT

11.

Saints

Defense: 4-3

Teez Tabor

CB FLA

6', 191, #31 

DT, CB, S, DE, LB, LB, CB, DL, WR, RB,

2016 Picks: 

1-12 Sheldon Rankins DT Louisville
2 (47) Michael Thomas WR Ohio ST
2 (61) Vonn Bell, S, Ohio State|
4 (120) David Onyemata, DT, University of Manitoba
7 (237) Daniel Lasco, RB, California

Key F.A. Signed: 

Luke McCown QB

Coby Fleener TE

Michael Hoomanawanui TE

Tim Hightower RB

Travaris Cadet RB 

Nick Fairley DL 

James Laurinaitis LB

Craig Robertson LB

Jamarca Sanford S

Kai Forbath K

Key F.A.:  
Matt Flynn QB 
Kendall Hunter RB  
Tony Hills OT 

Mike McGlynn OT  
Kevin Williams DT 

Anthony Spencer LB 
James Anderson LB

Chris Owens CB 
Kyle Wilson CB    

Key Free Agents Lost:

Benjamin Watson TE 

Khiry Robinson RB

The Team: They did a good job addressing their defense in last years Draft, but they didn't really address the secondary. They grabbed a Safety, but didn't even take a peek at a CB. That was a big mistake. 

The Player: Tabor can really move. He moves better than King. I though that in the second half of the season he really started to make more plays on the ball in the air. He showed me he could plays on the ball in the air, and that was the last thing I needed to see.

The Reason: The one year they had a great secondary they won it all. 

Second Choice: Dalvin Cook RB